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League One | Gameweek 13
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Adams Park
CT

Wycombe
2 - 0
Cheltenham

Low (86'), Lubala (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Cheltenham
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 Cheltenham Town

Playing at Adams Park for the first time since securing their place at Wembley in April, there should be a feel-good factor around Wycombe on Tuesday night, and they should be confident of earning three points. Cheltenham had to grind out the point at Wigan on the weekend in a valiant defensive display, but we feel that the Robins will be unable to repeat the trick in Buckinghamshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wycombe WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
56.52% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 23.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 20.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.8% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.96% (0.052 0.05)49.04% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.88% (0.048000000000002 0.05)71.12% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.85% (0.031000000000006 0.03)17.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.62% (0.051000000000002 0.05)47.38% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)38.68% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58% (0.020000000000003 0.02)75.42% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wycombe Wanderers 56.52%
    Cheltenham Town 20.12%
    Draw 23.35%
Wycombe WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.67% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 56.52%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.35%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 20.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bradford 0-1 Wycombe
Wednesday, February 21 at 8pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Wycombe
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 5-2 Peterborough
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Wycombe
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Cheltenham
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-2 Port Vale
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Wycombe
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One


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