SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Yverdon Sport win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yverdon Sport | Draw | FC Zurich |
27.38% ( 0.33) | 23.54% ( 0.12) | 49.08% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 58.8% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% ( -0.27) | 42.53% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( -0.27) | 64.93% ( 0.28) |
| Yverdon Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( 0.1) | 28.74% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% ( 0.13) | 64.58% ( -0.12) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.52% ( -0.27) | 17.48% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.03% ( -0.47) | 47.97% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yverdon Sport | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.48% Total : 27.38% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.08% |
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