SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Zurich in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
40.63% ( 0.05) | 24.46% ( 0.3) | 34.91% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 59.44% ( -1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.63% ( -1.49) | 43.37% ( 1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.23% ( -1.48) | 65.76% ( 1.48) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.59% ( -0.61) | 21.41% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.59% ( -0.95) | 54.41% ( 0.95) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( -0.89) | 24.36% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.24% ( -1.27) | 58.76% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.61% Total : 40.63% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.33)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.91% |
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