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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Feb 2, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Leon

Club Leon
3 - 1
Atletico San Luis

Davila (62', 78'), Meneses (89')
Barreiro (12'), Tesillo (55'), Montes (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Berterame (74')
Chavez (5'), Mayada (16'), Duque (47')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Leon and Atletico San Luis.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 16.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.

Result
Club LeonDrawAtletico San Luis
60.8%22.52%16.68%
Both teams to score 47.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42%50.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5%72.49%
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79%16.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.3%45.69%
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.43%43.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.23%79.77%
Score Analysis
    Club Leon 60.79%
    Atletico San Luis 16.68%
    Draw 22.51%
Club LeonDrawAtletico San Luis
1-0 @ 12.84%
2-0 @ 11.69%
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 5.89%
4-0 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.45%
5-0 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 1.11%
5-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 60.79%
1-1 @ 10.67%
0-0 @ 7.06%
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 22.51%
0-1 @ 5.87%
1-2 @ 4.43%
0-2 @ 2.44%
1-3 @ 1.23%
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 16.68%

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