Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.