Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.