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Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 28, 2020 at 4am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan

Mazatlan
1 - 4
Puebla

Huerta (36')
Antonio Padilla (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ormeno (10'), Arreola (55' pen.), Martinez (89'), Escoto (90+3')
Salas (40'), Vidrio (76'), Arreola (78')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Puebla.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 69.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 11.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.12%) and 0-3 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-0 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.

Result
MazatlanDrawPuebla
11.23%19.14%69.63%
Both teams to score 43.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07%47.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89%70.11%
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.75%50.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.17%84.83%
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.39%12.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.27%38.72%
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 11.23%
    Puebla 69.62%
    Draw 19.14%
MazatlanDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 4.36%
2-1 @ 3.11%
2-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 11.23%
1-1 @ 9.03%
0-0 @ 6.34%
2-2 @ 3.22%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 19.14%
0-2 @ 13.58%
0-1 @ 13.12%
0-3 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 9.35%
1-3 @ 6.45%
0-4 @ 4.85%
1-4 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.22%
0-5 @ 2.01%
1-5 @ 1.38%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 69.62%


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