Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 69.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 11.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.12%) and 0-3 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-0 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.