Monterrey
3 - 1
Toluca

Funes Mori (20', 85'), Rodriguez (29')
Pabon (3'), Gallardo (32'), Medina (35'), Layun (76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Medina (46')
Sauro (19'), Cisneros (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 66.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 13.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
Monterrey	Draw	Toluca
66.43%	20.12%	13.46%

Both teams to score 47.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.2%

46.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.94%

69.06%

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.8%

13.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.07%

39.93%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.2%

45.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.44%

81.57%

Score Analysis

Monterrey 66.42%

Toluca 13.46%

Draw 20.12%

Monterrey	Draw	Toluca
2-0 @ 12.39% 1-0 @ 12.24% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 8.37% 3-1 @ 6.53% 4-0 @ 4.24% 4-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.77% Total : 66.42%	1-1 @ 9.56% 0-0 @ 6.05% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.12%	0-1 @ 4.72% 1-2 @ 3.73% 0-2 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 0.98% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.21% Total : 13.46%