Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.