Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.78%).