Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.