Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos Laguna in this match.