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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Sep 13, 2020 at 12pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
ML

Lille
1 - 0
Metz

Araujo (88')
Pied (31'), Bradaric (57'), Andre (80'), C. (80'), Celik (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Maiga (20'), Bronn (36'), Pajot (43'), Centonze (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.11%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
LilleDrawMetz
55.16%27.1%17.74%
Both teams to score 37.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.33%64.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.34%83.66%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08%23.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87%58.13%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.35%50.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.9%85.1%
Score Analysis
    Lille 55.15%
    Metz 17.74%
    Draw 27.09%
LilleDrawMetz
1-0 @ 17.33%
2-0 @ 12.39%
2-1 @ 8.43%
3-0 @ 5.91%
3-1 @ 4.02%
4-0 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.44%
3-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 55.15%
0-0 @ 12.11%
1-1 @ 11.78%
2-2 @ 2.87%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 8.24%
1-2 @ 4.01%
0-2 @ 2.8%
1-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 17.74%


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