Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.