Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 47.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-0 (9.11%).