SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Chateauroux had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Chateauroux win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chateauroux | Draw | Auxerre |
| 28.11% | 26.84% | 45.04% |
| Both teams to score 48.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.16% | 55.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.04% | 76.96% |
| Chateauroux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% | 35.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.07% | 71.92% |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% | 24.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.76% | 59.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chateauroux | Draw | Auxerre |
| 1-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-0 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.09% Total : 28.11% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 12.14% 1-2 @ 8.88% 0-2 @ 8.49% 1-3 @ 4.14% 0-3 @ 3.96% 2-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.43% Total : 45.03% |
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