Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nimes would win this match.