Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 1-0 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.