Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dunkerque in this match.
