Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 52.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.