Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Pau had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valenciennes would win this match.