SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Pau had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valenciennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valenciennes | Draw | Pau |
| 54.72% | 25.38% | 19.9% |
| Both teams to score 44.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.11% | 77.89% |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.14% | 20.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.44% | 53.56% |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.48% | 43.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.28% | 79.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Valenciennes | Draw | Pau |
| 1-0 @ 14.23% 2-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 4.85% 4-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.72% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.55% 1-2 @ 4.93% 0-2 @ 3.14% 1-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.9% |
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