SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Kettering Town | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 22 | Farsley Celtic | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 23 | Bradford Park Avenue | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Fylde | 6 | 0 | 12 |
| 4 | Scarborough Athletic | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Spennymoor Town | 6 | 2 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scarborough Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
32.2% ( 0.12) | 27.29% ( -0.2) | 40.5% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.37% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.97% ( 0.79) | 56.03% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.88% ( 0.64) | 77.11% ( -0.64) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.75% ( 0.49) | 32.25% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.26% ( 0.55) | 68.74% ( -0.56) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( 0.42) | 27.14% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.47% ( 0.54) | 62.53% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.2% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.5% |
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