Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.