Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.