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National League North | Gameweek 1
Oct 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
1 - 2
Chester

FT(HT: 1-1)
Elliott (23'), Weeks (57')
Lacey (64')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Chester FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawChester FC
36.44%25.51%38.06%
Both teams to score 55.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52%48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.83%70.17%
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34%25.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44%60.56%
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23%24.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67%59.33%
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 36.44%
    Chester FC 38.06%
    Draw 25.5%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-1 @ 8.21%
2-0 @ 5.88%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.44%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.35%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 8.87%
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-2 @ 6.19%
1-3 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.66%
1-4 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.01%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 38.06%


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