Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dartford in this match.