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National League South | Gameweek 1
Oct 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Princes Park

Dartford
1 - 0
Chelmsford City

Marsh-Brown (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dartford and Chelmsford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dartford in this match.

Result
DartfordDrawChelmsford City
53.26%24.2%22.54%
Both teams to score 51.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.3%49.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29%71.71%
Dartford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.4%18.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.12%49.88%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36%36.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.58%73.42%
Score Analysis
    Dartford 53.26%
    Chelmsford City 22.54%
    Draw 24.19%
DartfordDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 11.46%
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 9.64%
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-0 @ 5.41%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 53.26%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.84%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.44%
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 22.54%


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