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National League South | Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Priory Lane Stadium

Eastbourne
4 - 0
Farnborough

Davis (54'), Clarke (65'), Adigun (69'), Klass (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Eastbourne Borough and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aveley 0-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Farnborough Town win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastbourne Borough would win this match.

Result
Eastbourne BoroughDrawFarnborough Town
53.64% (-0.154 -0.15) 24.07% (0.035 0.04) 22.28% (0.115 0.12)
Both teams to score 51.65% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)49.43% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)71.47% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)18.35% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.53% (-0.115 -0.12)49.46% (0.111 0.11)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.26% (0.096000000000004 0.1)36.73% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.48% (0.099 0.1)73.51% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Eastbourne Borough 53.64%
    Farnborough Town 22.28%
    Draw 24.06%
Eastbourne BoroughDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 11.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.69% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 53.64%
1-1 @ 11.44% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.38% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.91% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 22.28%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aveley 0-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 4-1 Chippenham
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-0 Maidstone
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 3-3 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Enfield Town 0-5 Eastbourne
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 2-1 Welling United
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 0-2 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 1-1 Farnborough
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 0-1 Hornchurch
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 2-1 Weston
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-2 Farnborough
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in National League South


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