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National League South | Gameweek 3
Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK
Gallagher Stadium

Maidstone
4 - 1
Hemel Hempstead

Corne (23'), Brown (24'), Luque (28'), Chesmain (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Olaniyi Salisu Balalarabe (80')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Maidstone United and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 20.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.

Result
Maidstone UnitedDrawHemel Hempstead Town
57.55%22.29%20.16%
Both teams to score 54.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.54%44.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.17%66.83%
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.81%15.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.19%43.81%
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99%36.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21%72.79%
Score Analysis
    Maidstone United 57.55%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 20.16%
    Draw 22.28%
Maidstone UnitedDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 9.92%
2-0 @ 9.71%
3-1 @ 6.23%
3-0 @ 6.1%
3-2 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 2.94%
4-0 @ 2.88%
4-2 @ 1.5%
5-1 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 57.55%
1-1 @ 10.52%
0-0 @ 5.47%
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.28%
0-1 @ 5.59%
1-2 @ 5.38%
0-2 @ 2.85%
1-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 20.16%


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