Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.