Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.