Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.