Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
