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National League | Gameweek 4
Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
 
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Altrincham
3 - 2
Dover Athletic

Mooney (21'), Leitch-Smith (71'), Colclough (86' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arthur (8'), Cosgrove (57')
Cosgrove (32'), Woods (74'), E. Bramble T. (82'), Collinge (85')
Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and Dover Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
AltrinchamDrawDover Athletic
32.07%25.37%42.56%
Both teams to score 55.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.76%48.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.61%70.39%
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58%28.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83%64.17%
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41%22.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.81%56.18%
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 32.07%
    Dover Athletic 42.56%
    Draw 25.37%
AltrinchamDrawDover Athletic
1-0 @ 8.07%
2-1 @ 7.56%
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.36%
3-0 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.42%
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 9.55%
1-2 @ 8.94%
0-2 @ 7.1%
1-3 @ 4.43%
0-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 2.79%
1-4 @ 1.65%
0-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 42.56%

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