Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.