Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
