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National League | Gameweek 2
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
AT

Hartlepool
2 - 1
Aldershot

Featherstone (35' pen.), Holohan (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tanner (63')
Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Aldershot Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawAldershot Town
48.48%24.77%26.76%
Both teams to score 54.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59%48.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46%70.54%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99%20.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.8%52.2%
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7%32.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2%68.8%
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 48.47%
    Aldershot Town 26.76%
    Draw 24.77%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawAldershot Town
1-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 8.37%
3-1 @ 5.07%
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 48.47%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 6.46%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.3%
1-2 @ 6.64%
0-2 @ 4.13%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 26.76%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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