Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
