Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.
