Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.
