Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Estonia win it was 2-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.
