Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Germany had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Germany win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
