Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gibraltar win with a probability of 71.34%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gibraltar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gibraltar would win this match.