Italy
1 - 1
Bosnia H'vina

Sensi (67')
Belotti (65'), Zaniolo (80'), Bonucci (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dzeko (57')
Cimirot (80')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's UEFA Nations League clash between Italy and Bosnia-Herzegovina, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Italy	Draw	Bosnia-Herzegovina
57.38%	22.4%	20.21%

Both teams to score 53.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.11%

44.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.75%

67.25%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.61%

15.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.81%

44.19%

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.79%

36.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.01%

72.99%

Score Analysis

Italy 57.38%

Bosnia-Herzegovina 20.21%

Draw 22.4%

Italy	Draw	Bosnia-Herzegovina
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.76% 3-1 @ 6.18% 3-0 @ 6.09% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.89% 4-0 @ 2.85% 4-2 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.51% Total : 57.38%	1-1 @ 10.59% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.4%	0-1 @ 5.66% 1-2 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 2.88% 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.79% Total : 20.21%