Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 52.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Greece had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Greece win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.