Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
