SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 52.15%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Russia | Draw | Serbia |
| 52.15% | 23.76% | 24.09% |
| Both teams to score 54.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.67% | 46.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.38% | 68.62% |
| Russia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% | 17.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.56% | 48.44% |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% | 33.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30% | 70% |
| Score Analysis |
| Russia | Draw | Serbia |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 8.85% 3-1 @ 5.6% 3-0 @ 5.1% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.62% Total : 52.15% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 0-0 @ 5.93% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.75% | 0-1 @ 6.5% 1-2 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 3.57% 1-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.34% Total : 24.09% |
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