Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Israel had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Israel win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.