Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for France had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
