Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.