Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 63.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Institute had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Institute win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.