Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.