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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 1
Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
3 - 0
Dungannon

Donnelly (11'), McDaid (13'), Hale (85' pen.)
Sule (17')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Dungannon Swifts.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 16.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawDungannon Swifts
63.15%20.83%16.01%
Both teams to score 51.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.26%44.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89%67.11%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.47%13.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.41%40.59%
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.07%40.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.5%77.5%
Score Analysis
    Larne 63.15%
    Dungannon Swifts 16.01%
    Draw 20.84%
LarneDrawDungannon Swifts
2-0 @ 11.08%
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 6.6%
4-0 @ 3.7%
4-1 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 2.95%
5-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.47%
5-1 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 63.15%
1-1 @ 9.9%
0-0 @ 5.54%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 20.84%
0-1 @ 4.95%
1-2 @ 4.42%
0-2 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.32%
1-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 16.01%


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