Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.